Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.031021 0.033354 0.035792 0.038534 0.041534 0.044723 0.048373
2025-06-01 0.026874 0.030135 0.033720 0.037969 0.042886 0.048419 0.055146
2025-06-08 0.023947 0.027695 0.031975 0.037252 0.043625 0.051123 0.060686
2025-06-15 0.021934 0.026003 0.030793 0.036894 0.044526 0.053848 0.066232
2025-06-22 0.020347 0.024628 0.029799 0.036570 0.045302 0.056321 0.071497
2025-06-29 0.018871 0.023248 0.028651 0.035897 0.045492 0.057951 0.075668
2025-07-06 0.018064 0.022631 0.028388 0.036288 0.047022 0.061357 0.082402
2025-07-13 0.017204 0.021877 0.027878 0.036282 0.047970 0.063984 0.088190
2025-07-20 0.016605 0.021417 0.027706 0.036693 0.049474 0.067431 0.095373
2025-07-27 0.015840 0.020685 0.027118 0.036470 0.050041 0.069540 0.100685
2025-08-03 0.015142 0.020001 0.026548 0.036224 0.050531 0.071530 0.105922
2025-08-10 0.014515 0.019381 0.026027 0.036002 0.051020 0.073518 0.111268
2025-08-17 0.013967 0.018851 0.025612 0.035918 0.051718 0.075883 0.117447
2025-08-24 0.013331 0.018165 0.024940 0.035413 0.051732 0.077167 0.121920
2025-08-31 0.012699 0.017457 0.024199 0.034757 0.051460 0.077957 0.125588
2025-09-07 0.012206 0.016927 0.023694 0.034428 0.051675 0.079530 0.130718
2025-09-14 0.011756 0.016440 0.023228 0.034130 0.051911 0.081136 0.136011
2025-09-21 0.011250 0.015851 0.022581 0.033511 0.051577 0.081741 0.139495
2025-09-28 0.011028 0.015676 0.022552 0.033871 0.052880 0.085227 0.148651
2025-10-05 0.010729 0.015371 0.022308 0.033866 0.053558 0.087649 0.155960
2025-10-12 0.010538 0.015223 0.022301 0.034243 0.054906 0.091345 0.166096
2025-10-19 0.010222 0.014870 0.021956 0.034038 0.055220 0.093167 0.172596
2025-10-26 0.009918 0.014525 0.021608 0.033812 0.055477 0.094891 0.179033